NCAA Tournament March Madness

#67 Colorado St

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Projection: likely out

Colorado State’s résumé has clear highs and clear holes: notable neutral-court wins over Wichita State and South Florida and a genuine road victory at Loyola Chicago show the offense can carry the team in hostile settings, but a surprising home loss to Denver and a narrow defeat on the road at Virginia Tech are the kind of blemishes that selection committees remember. Nonconference blowouts over lesser opponents bolster scoring numbers but do little to erase the uneven defensive performances that have shown up at times, and the remaining slate offers a straightforward way to change the picture. A home date with Colorado is an obvious chance for a signature win, while road trips to Utah State and San Diego State represent the sort of road tests that would validate the résumé; the rest of the conference schedule against the likes of Nevada, New Mexico, Fresno State, Boise State, UNLV, Wyoming, San Jose State and Air Force provides opportunities to both build a body of work and to damage it if inconsistency persists. Overall the profile is built on a few strong moments and an offense that can carry the team, but until Colorado State proves it can win the league’s toughest road tests and shore up sketchy defensive stretches its margin for error will be thin.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Incarnate Word176W98-64
11/9NE Omaha264W97-74
11/12Cal Poly223W93-79
11/16@Loyola-Chicago288W80-67
11/21Denver281L83-81
11/26(N)Virginia Tech72L66-64
11/27(N)Wichita St99W76-70
11/28(N)South Florida79W83-68
12/6Colorado6861%
12/9Dartmouth27795%
12/20@Utah St4330%
12/30Nevada10073%
1/3@Grand Canyon10353%
1/6New Mexico11076%
1/9UNLV13983%
1/13@Fresno St16071%
1/16@Boise St6237%
1/20Air Force33198%
1/23Utah St4352%
1/28@San Diego St4732%
1/31@Wyoming10755%
2/7San Jose St18689%
2/10@Air Force33193%
2/14Wyoming10775%
2/18@UNLV13965%
2/21San Diego St4753%
2/24Fresno St16087%
2/28@San Jose St18675%
3/4@New Mexico11055%
3/7Boise St6259%